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Market at a “Hopeful” Point December 2, 2018

Posted by Tom in Thoughts.
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Nov. 30, 2018 – Overall a positive market reaction since a cool Thanksgiving week.  Currently I’d call it “Hopeful”, but quite an all out Up Trend (even in the short term).  Looking at the chart below I’d really like to see the NASDAQ Composite Index close above the 7332 level and we’re very close to that now.

Sentiment is positive as is Money Flow and Volume Flow has just turned up.  That’s all good, but the structure still is in a short term down trend with lower lows and lower highs (purple channel).  There has been so much damage done since late September that some base building is in order before we can be confident of any resumption of a Bull market.

Late word is that the China tariff increases have been put on hold for 90 days while a longer term agreement is being worked out.  The market will initially like this but again the “devil is in the details” and a longer term agreement will need a lot of work and compromise.  Are both sides willing to compromise?  We’ll see.

Here’s a list of short term sector strength –

We’re starting to see some upward movement is the previous market leaders like Consumer Goods, Technology and Healthcare.  I’m beginning to take small cautious positions in stocks and the “Q’s” index (NASDAQ 100 Index).  Continued strength will quicken the exposure while the opposite will be true.  This market is “hopeful” but not healed just yet.  What type of response we get from the China news and particularly how long it lasts will be an indication of overall strength.

Have a good week.    ………  Tom  ……….

Price chart by MetaStock; table by http://www.HighGrowthStock.com. Used with permission.


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